BP sees no future for hydrogen cars

Bild: Daniel Bönnighausen

Even though BP is one of the big investors in the hydrogen business, the oil company sees no future for fuelling cars with hydrogen. BP assesses the market potential for H2 cars as virtually non-existent for 2035 and 2050.

In “light vehicles”, cars and vans, the market share of hydrogen as a fuel is precisely zero in 2035 and 2050 under BP’s net-zero scenario, with more than 70% using electricity directly.

Even if the future vision of ‘Net Zero’ is not achieved, the fuel cell in passenger cars plays no role in the more emission-intense scenarios the oil corporation comes up with. Looking at a world with a CO2 reduction of 30 or 75 per cent, the BP forecast sees this achieved with battery-electric cars and remainders of the ICE age. In both scenarios, the share of hydrogen cars in 2035 is zero; for 2050, BP assumes a niche of 0.3 to 0.6 per cent market share.

With its hydrogen plans – specifically, BP wants to produce 500,000 to 700,000 tonnes of “mainly” green hydrogen per year by 2030 – the company primarily targets “processes that are difficult to electrify”. In other words, the steel and chemical industries or their own oil refineries. In the transport sector, BP sees shipping and aviation as potential hydrogen consumers. And, if on the road, then in heavy goods traffic.

Overall, the ‘BP Energy Outlook 2023’ includes mainly petrochemical products and only small amounts of biofuel and natural gas. Synthetic fuels are not mentioned.

hydrogeninsight.com, bp.com (report as pdf)


about „BP sees no future for hydrogen cars“
john burrow
14.07.2023 um 07:38
How can a giant company get the future so wrong. Hydrogen is the only way to go. And save the planet also.
Hirenkumar Patel
14.07.2023 um 13:27
The only problem that I see is hydrogen production which will use electricity. However, in amy other way hydrogen car is way better than battery powered cars.
Bob brown
14.07.2023 um 19:49
At what cost, to the environment and the car buyer. Hydrogen will cost more than petrol,is on par with efficiency ie - 30%,more reactive, escapes out of everything, the killer is the price, double what battery cars cost now, and people complain they are too expensive allready.
Alex B
14.07.2023 um 14:56
Not true, there are so many flaws with using hydrogen as a fuel for transport. BEV is a far superior technology to use for cars and light commercial vehicles.
alex cokonis
14.07.2023 um 10:13
BP knows that hydrogen will wipe out all fossil fuels. Battery cars will always lack capability, and BP knows electrics can not even come close to eliminating fossil fuels.
14.07.2023 um 12:45
What a surprise, a fossil fuel company sees no future in sustainable alternatives. I may faint from the shock.
Doug Starfield
14.07.2023 um 13:27
BP = Bogus Prophet
14.07.2023 um 14:38
In my opinion, H2 is the focus of the century as a potential fuel for energy in addition to its requirement for chemical synthesizing, as also it is getting most favoured support from oil and gas sector for their survival. So, unit cost of H2 will attract use over other alternatives both for industrial use as well a for autos. Battery, because of its unfriendly nature from asking for enormous use of metals, short life, adding to pay load for autos and its disposal,will find its use decline.
Joe A'Lee
14.07.2023 um 18:50
How could BP be so off the mark. Most other countries and industries see thus as part of the future net zero plan - we can't wholly rely on BEV, Indeed H2 will have to be used for trucks and cargo lorries - batteries are too heavy. Lastly, the EU is legislating in favour of H2 structures to enable to kndustry to expand. Oh well, they might have to join the party late
Brian Mills
16.07.2023 um 09:46
There are all sorts of problems with hydrogen. It has to be highly pressurised and that affects the economics. You have to make it. Currently that is from steam reforming and that makes CO2. It is a small molecule and it leaks through metal pipework. It has a high TNT equivalence. From memory 22 compared to methane. It goes with a hell of a bang. The ignition energy is very low and the flammable range is very wide. It even burns with an invisible flame! All that adds-up to a lot of expense and extreme danger!

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